Introduction
[Update: November 2025] A year ago, we published our predictions for SAP analytics in 2025. Now, as we close out the year, it’s time for an honest assessment: Which trends materialized? Which fell short? And what does this tell us about the future?
This retrospective review examines our 10 original predictions made in November 2024, comparing them against what actually happened throughout 2025. We’ve added reality checks, lessons learned, and updated recommendations based on real-world implementations.
Reading Guide: Each section shows our original prediction, followed by ✅ What Happened or ⚠️ Reality Check with actual 2025 outcomes.
1. Generative AI Becomes Mainstream in SAC
Original Prediction: From “AI-Powered” to “AI-First”
We predicted: SAP’s Joule copilot would become the primary interface for analytics, with conversational dashboards, auto-storytelling, and 25+ language support.
✅ What Actually Happened:
Joule copilot did become mainstream in SAC, but adoption was more gradual than expected:
- Conversational analytics: ✅ Launched in Q2 2025, now supports complex queries like “Why did EMEA revenue drop 15% in Q3?”
- Auto-storytelling: ⚠️ Partially delivered - generates bullet-point summaries, but full PowerPoint creation still in beta
- Multi-language support: ✅ Expanded to 18 languages (not 25, but significant)
- Predictive suggestions: ✅ Exceeded expectations - now proactively alerts users to anomalies
Reality Check: AI features required substantial data quality. Organizations with poor master data saw limited value. Lesson: AI amplifies your data quality - garbage in, garbage out.
Real-World Impact (2025 Data)
Customer Example: A Fortune 500 retailer reduced exploratory analysis time from 2 hours to 12 minutes (90% reduction, not 95% as predicted). The key difference: Users still needed to validate AI recommendations before acting.
2. Datasphere Edge Computing for Real-Time Analytics
Original Prediction: Edge Nodes Coming Q2 2025
We predicted: Datasphere would support edge computing nodes for local data processing at factories, stores, and vehicles.
⚠️ Reality Check:
This was our most inaccurate prediction. SAP delayed edge computing features:
- Edge nodes: ❌ Not released in 2025 (now targeted for H1 2026)
- Offline resilience: ⚠️ Limited offline capabilities added in Q4 2025
- 5G integration: ❌ Still in research phase
What SAP Delivered Instead:
- Enhanced data replication for near-real-time sync (sub-5-minute latency)
- Improved caching mechanisms for remote locations
- Better mobile app performance for field users
Lesson Learned: SAP’s roadmap timelines are often aspirational. Always add 6-12 months buffer for bleeding-edge features.
Updated Recommendation: Focus on proven real-time capabilities (SAP Replication Server, streaming APIs) rather than waiting for edge computing.
3. Embedded Analytics Explodes in S/4HANA
Original Prediction: Analytics Where Work Happens
We predicted: 200% growth in embedded analytics, with SAC charts directly in Fiori apps and third-party tools.
✅ What Actually Happened:
This prediction was spot-on. Embedded analytics became one of 2025’s biggest trends:
- Fiori integration: ✅ Exceeded expectations - now standard in 50+ SAP Fiori apps
- BTP apps: ✅ Low-code tools like SAP Build now include native SAC widgets
- Third-party embedding: ✅ Salesforce, Teams, ServiceNow integrations launched
- Growth: ✅ 180% increase in embedded analytics usage (close to our 200% prediction)
Surprise Winner: Microsoft Teams integration became the #1 embedded use case - not Fiori as we expected.
2025 Stats:
- 40% of SAC users now access analytics via embedded views (vs. 12% in 2024)
- Average time spent in SAC native interface decreased 25% (users prefer in-context analytics)
Updated Recommendation: Prioritize embedding analytics in collaboration tools (Teams, Slack) over traditional BI portals.
4. Industry Clouds Get Analytics-First Redesign
Original Prediction: Pre-Built Industry Analytics
We predicted: Banking (Jan 2025), Retail (Beta), Healthcare (H1 2025) industry clouds with built-in analytics.
✅ Mixed Results:
Banking Industry Cloud: ✅ Launched February 2025 (1 month late, but delivered)
- Credit risk dashboards included
- Regulatory templates for IFRS 9 and Basel III
- Customer 360 views with predictive models
Retail Industry Cloud: ⚠️ Still in beta (GA pushed to Q1 2026)
- Store performance benchmarking available
- Supply chain visibility delayed
Healthcare Industry Cloud: ❌ Delayed to Q2 2026
- Patient flow analytics in pilot phase only
What We Underestimated: Regulatory compliance complexity delayed healthcare/retail launches. Banking succeeded because SAP partnered with regulators early.
Updated Recommendation: Banking customers can adopt now. Retail/healthcare should wait for GA releases in 2026.
5. AI-Powered Planning and Forecasting
Original Prediction: Intelligent Forecasting Automation
We predicted: AI-driven scenario modeling, predictive alerts, and 40% reduction in planning cycle time.
✅ Exceeded Expectations:
This was our biggest success story:
- Time series forecasting: ✅ Launched Q1 2025, highly accurate (±3% variance)
- Scenario simulation: ✅ Natural language prompts working better than expected
- Predictive alerts: ✅ Proactive anomaly detection became standard feature
- Planning cycle reduction: ✅ 45% average reduction (exceeded our 40% prediction!)
Customer Success: A manufacturing client reduced quarterly planning from 3 weeks to 10 days using AI forecasting.
What Surprised Us: AI variance analysis became more valuable than forecasts themselves - identifying why actuals differ from plan drives better decisions.
6. Data Marketplace Accelerates Content Sharing
Original Prediction: 2,000+ Assets by Q4 2025
We predicted: Datasphere Marketplace would reach 2,000 assets and enable 50% reduction in development time.
⚠️ Slower Than Expected:
- Q1 2025: ✅ 520 assets (exceeded our 500 prediction)
- Q4 2025: ⚠️ 1,200 assets (40% below our 2,000 prediction)
- Revenue: ⚠️ ~$15M transactions (vs. $50M predicted)
Why the Gap?
- Partner adoption slower than expected (legal/licensing concerns)
- Quality control delayed many submissions
- Free community content cannibalized paid offerings
What Worked: SAP official content (free) saw massive adoption - 80% of customers using at least one template.
Updated Recommendation: Focus on SAP official content for quick wins. Partner marketplace will mature in 2026.
7. Low-Code Analytics Democratization
Original Prediction: Citizen Developers Build 60% of Dashboards
We predicted: Business users would build 60% of new dashboards using no-code tools.
⚠️ Reality Check:
- Actual adoption: 35% of dashboards built by business users (not 60%)
- SAP Build integration: ✅ Delivered and works well
- AI-assisted creation: ✅ Natural language queries generate good starting points
Why Lower Adoption?
- Governance concerns: IT wanted approval workflows
- Data access restrictions limited what business users could build
- Learning curve higher than expected (still requires 2-3 days training)
Success Pattern: Hybrid model works best - business users create prototypes, IT hardens for production.
Updated Recommendation: Don’t eliminate IT involvement. Enable “guided self-service” with governance guardrails.
8. Sustainability Analytics Becomes Standard
Original Prediction: CSRD Compliance Drives Adoption
We predicted: EU regulations would make SAP Sustainability Control Tower standard, with €1B revenue by 2027.
✅ On Track:
- CSRD compliance: ✅ 50,000+ companies subject to reporting (prediction accurate)
- SAC adoption for ESG: ✅ 40% growth in sustainability dashboards in 2025
- Pre-built content: ✅ CSRD, GRI, SASB templates delivered
- Revenue trajectory: ✅ On pace for €1B by 2027
Surprise Factor: Scope 3 emissions tracking (supply chain) became the biggest pain point - data collection from suppliers remains manual.
2025 Lesson: Technology is ready, but data availability is the bottleneck. Supplier onboarding takes 6-12 months.
Updated Recommendation: Start with Scope 1 & 2 (direct control), then gradually expand to Scope 3.
9. Mobile-First Analytics Design
Original Prediction: 70% Mobile Usage by End of 2025
We predicted: Mobile would become primary SAC access method with voice queries and offline mode.
⚠️ Partially Delivered:
- Mobile usage: 52% (not 70%, but significant growth from 40%)
- Responsive design: ✅ Auto-layout generation delivered in Q3 2025
- Voice queries: ⚠️ Limited beta (English only, simple queries)
- Offline mode: ✅ Field worker dashboards support offline viewing
What We Got Right: Touch-optimized controls and gesture navigation became standard.
What We Missed: Voice adoption slower due to privacy concerns in office environments.
2025 Reality: Mobile became “equal citizen” not “primary” interface. Desktop still preferred for deep analysis.
10. Open Ecosystem & Interoperability
Original Prediction: SAP Embraces Multi-Cloud Strategy
We predicted: Datasphere would natively read Snowflake, Databricks, BigQuery with two-way sync and API-first architecture.
✅ Mostly Delivered:
- Multi-cloud connectivity: ✅ Snowflake, Databricks, BigQuery connectors launched Q2 2025
- Federated queries: ✅ Works well, performance better than expected
- Two-way sync: ⚠️ Read works great, write capabilities limited
- API-first: ✅ Comprehensive REST APIs for all major functions
Surprise Win: The Databricks integration became the #1 requested feature - AI/ML teams love combining SAP transactional data with Databricks models.
What We Underestimated: Governance complexity. Multi-cloud data = multi-cloud security/compliance headaches.
Updated Recommendation: Embrace multi-cloud, but invest heavily in data governance frameworks upfront.
2025 Predictions Scorecard
Overall Accuracy: 7.3/10 - Strong predictions, but we overestimated timelines on cutting-edge features.
| Trend | Prediction | Reality | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Generative AI | Mainstream adoption | ✅ Delivered | 9/10 |
| 2. Edge Computing | Q2 2025 release | ❌ Delayed to 2026 | 2/10 |
| 3. Embedded Analytics | 200% growth | ✅ 180% growth | 9/10 |
| 4. Industry Clouds | Banking Jan 2025 | ✅ Feb 2025 (close) | 7/10 |
| 5. AI Planning | 40% efficiency gain | ✅ 45% achieved | 10/10 |
| 6. Data Marketplace | 2,000 assets | ⚠️ 1,200 assets | 6/10 |
| 7. Low-Code | 60% citizen dev | ⚠️ 35% achieved | 6/10 |
| 8. Sustainability | CSRD compliance | ✅ On track | 9/10 |
| 9. Mobile-First | 70% mobile usage | ⚠️ 52% achieved | 7/10 |
| 10. Interoperability | Multi-cloud support | ✅ Mostly delivered | 8/10 |
Key Lessons Learned from 2025
1. AI Delivered Real Value (Not Hype)
- Customers who invested in AI forecasting/analytics saw measurable ROI
- Data quality remains the biggest blocker - AI can’t fix bad data
- Recommendation: Clean your data before investing in AI features
2. Timelines Are Aspirational
- Add 6-12 months to SAP roadmap dates for realistic planning
- Beta features often take 2-3 quarters to reach production quality
- Recommendation: Be an early adopter, not a bleeding-edge pioneer
3. Hybrid Approaches Win
- Pure “citizen developer” model failed - IT governance essential
- Multi-cloud works, but needs upfront governance investment
- Recommendation: Enable business users, but maintain IT guardrails
4. Mobile Still Growing
- 52% mobile usage significant, but not the “mobile-first” revolution predicted
- Desktop remains king for complex analysis
- Recommendation: Design for both, optimize for mobile consumption
What to Expect in 2026
Based on 2025 learnings, here are our early predictions for 2026:
- Edge computing delivers (delayed from 2025)
- Voice analytics finds niche use cases (warehouse, field service)
- Data marketplace consolidation (quality over quantity)
- Scope 3 emissions tracking breakthrough (supplier collaboration platforms)
- AI governance becomes #1 priority (trust & explainability)
Read our full 2026 predictions → (Publishing December 2025)
The Varnika IT Consulting Perspective
Updated November 2025: This retrospective proves the value of staying ahead of trends while remaining pragmatic about timelines.
Our 2026 service focus: ✓ AI Implementation (Not Just Strategy) - Proven ROI-focused deployments ✓ Datasphere Migration Accelerators - 15+ successful migrations in 2025 ✓ Mobile-Optimized Dashboard Retrofits - Upgrade existing content ✓ Sustainability Analytics - CSRD compliance expertise ✓ Multi-Cloud Governance Frameworks - Secure Snowflake/Databricks integration
Ready to Apply 2025 Lessons to Your 2026 Strategy?
Schedule a free 30-minute strategy session to discuss what worked, what didn’t, and your 2026 roadmap.
Originally Published: November 10, 2024 | Updated: November 26, 2025 | Reading Time: 11 minutes